Solar activity


Thursday, November 14th 2019, 20:30:00 UTC

Regions with Sunspots

Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.

Solar Activity Forecast

Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (14 Nov, 15 Nov, 16 Nov).

24 hr48 hr72 hr
Event probabilities 14 Nov-16 Nov
Class M01 %01 %01 %
Class X01 %01 %01 %
Proton01 %01 %01 %

PCAF: green

Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 367 km/s at 13/1424Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at 12/2357Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 13/0044Z.

Geophysical Activity Forecast

The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one and two (14 Nov, 15 Nov) and quiet to active levels on day three (16 Nov).

Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Nov-16 Nov

24 hr48 hr72 hr
Middle Latitudes
Active10 %05 %30 %
Minor Storm01 %01 %10 %
Major-severe storm01 %01 %01 %
24 hr48 hr72 hr
High Latitudes
Active15 %15 %15 %
Minor Storm15 %20 %30 %
Major-severe storm10 %10 %40 %

3-days of 5-minute solar x-ray flux values (GOES-15)

Manually reviewed and edited by the duty forecaster


Sources: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC), Joint Science Operations Center (JSOC)

Contact us