| Begin | Max | End | Xray | Region |
|---|
Solar activity
UTC
Friday, December 13th 2019, 06:30:00 UTC
Regions with Sunspots
Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z
Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (13 Dec, 14 Dec, 15 Dec).
| 24 hr | 48 hr | 72 hr | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Class M | 01 % | 01 % | 01 % |
| Class X | 01 % | 01 % | 01 % |
| Proton | 01 % | 01 % | 01 % |
PCAF: green
Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 451 km/s at 12/0931Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 12/1146Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at 12/0304Z.
Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (13 Dec, 14 Dec, 15 Dec).
Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Dec-15 Dec
| 24 hr | 48 hr | 72 hr | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10 % | 10 % | 10 % |
| Minor Storm | 01 % | 01 % | 01 % |
| Major-severe storm | 01 % | 01 % | 01 % |
| 24 hr | 48 hr | 72 hr | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20 % | 20 % | 20 % |
| Minor Storm | 20 % | 20 % | 20 % |
| Major-severe storm | 10 % | 10 % | 10 % |
3-days of 5-minute solar x-ray flux values (GOES-15)
Manually reviewed and edited by the duty forecaster
Sources: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC), Joint Science Operations Center (JSOC)