| Begin | Max | End | Xray | Region |
|---|
Solar activity
UTC
Thursday, November 14th 2019, 20:30:00 UTC
Regions with Sunspots
Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z
Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (14 Nov, 15 Nov, 16 Nov).
| 24 hr | 48 hr | 72 hr | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Class M | 01 % | 01 % | 01 % |
| Class X | 01 % | 01 % | 01 % |
| Proton | 01 % | 01 % | 01 % |
PCAF: green
Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 367 km/s at 13/1424Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at 12/2357Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 13/0044Z.
Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one and two (14 Nov, 15 Nov) and quiet to active levels on day three (16 Nov).
Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Nov-16 Nov
| 24 hr | 48 hr | 72 hr | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10 % | 05 % | 30 % |
| Minor Storm | 01 % | 01 % | 10 % |
| Major-severe storm | 01 % | 01 % | 01 % |
| 24 hr | 48 hr | 72 hr | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15 % | 15 % | 15 % |
| Minor Storm | 15 % | 20 % | 30 % |
| Major-severe storm | 10 % | 10 % | 40 % |
3-days of 5-minute solar x-ray flux values (GOES-15)
Manually reviewed and edited by the duty forecaster
Sources: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC), Joint Science Operations Center (JSOC)